Monday, June 22, 2009

My Recipe of Sensible Stock Investing

It’s a long one. Okay that was not to scare you; on the contrary, I’m going to keep it short & simple. I’ll cover it in a series. And don’t worry I’m not inspired by Ekta Kapoor’s K series. So it’s going to be a sweet and a short one. Before the chef shares the actual recipe, a few words about the chef and her journey to becoming a value investor -

Episode 1 – The Discovery of the Chѐf

I’ll share a little secret today. I did my Masters in Economics and secured the highest or maybe the second highest marks in the Financial Economics Paper. Guess what? In spite that I didn’t know ABC of stock market investing! Surprised? Yeah I know it’s surprising but it’s true. By the way I’m not the only one! This is what happens to most of the people!

The problem is that there’s too much information, too much advice, and no clue about where to start. And moreover, it’s damn boring, because you don’t understand anything! No one tries to make it interesting enough! Trust plays a crucial role. Whom should we trust? We get advice from every possible person – be it your friends, your broker, financial analysts with an entire universe of possible views or your relatives. Where to go, what to do are some of the questions which loom large in the minds of novice investors like I was then. I’m still in a learning phase and I guess it’s a continuous process – it never ends.

Have you also been through this stage? I have and my journey did not start till I read about the concept of Value Investing. Now I’m not going to sit and bore you guys by delving too deep into the concept. But yes, it deserves a small brief.

The concept invented by Benjamin Graham, followed by the world guru of investments, Warren Buffett rests on two simple rules. At MoneyWorks4Me these are called the Two Golden Rules:

Golden Rule No. 1: Invest in a company that’s worth owning forever!

Golden Rule No. 2: Buy shares at 50% discount or lower and sell at MRP provided it gives minimum 20% compounded annual rate of return.

We will discuss how to apply the two rules in detail a little later.

The next step involved finding processed (or adjusted) historical data of companies I wanted to evaluate. Data is a much broader term and to narrow it down, I focus on Net Sales, EPS, Book Value, PE, ROIC, ROE and Debt/Profit ratio for the past 10 years. Whoa, quite a big list, isn’t it? You must be wondering as if I’m sitting in a nice restaurant (a la carte) and ordering from an extensive menu card!

Two questions must be popping in your head right now. One where do I get it from, i.e. which restaurant I’m talking about? And two, what is this data adjusted for?

The answer to the first question is that I’m lucky to be a part of MoneyWorks4Me.com – a website from where I get all the data. The answer to the second question lies in the fact that companies are very smart when it comes to playing around with financial data. Thus we have to adjust the data for splits, bonus issues, extraordinary items, etc. Believe me it’s a task to compile these numbers, then adjust them and then sit and interpret. It all seems so complicated! I hate it when things get complicated. I like it simple.

It’s an art and you become a master when you write something which even a layman can understand. Well am still learning and hope I will be able to master it one day. Best of luck Charu ji. Ok I’m already deviating from the core. What was I talking about? Ah! Yes, I was talking about adjusted historical data. (You know chef’s can be like this at times. So please excuse me for deviating!) After collating the raw material for my recipe, I geared myself for the real task; the task of evaluating companies.

And we’ll meet after a break…

Commercial Break:

Bade: Abe tu kal kya kar raha hain…

Chhote: Kal main busy hoon

Bade: Kyun kahin jaa raha hain kya?

Chhote: Haan kal subah P.M. ke saath meeting hain..

Bade: P.M. ke sath?

Chhote: Haan

Bade: Subah subah?

Chhote: Haan kyun?

Bade: Subah mil hi nahi sakye who.

Chhote: Kyun?

Bade: Abe woh P.M. hain shaam ko miley ge… A.M. hota to subah milta na..

Chhote: Bakwas Bankar..

Disclaimer: The above image and joke have been adapted from 9XM.

Welcome back. I hope that the break was refreshingJ. I at least tried to make it one. Okay so we have the ingredients ready. All we need to do is to start cooking. Don’t worry; I’ll take you through the steps of making the perfect blend of ingredients with the art of cooking it on a low flame. And then we’ll enjoy the scrumptious recipe (our investments) with a glass of old wine (our handsome returns)! What do you say? Mouth watering?

But hey, we’re out of time! Hehe, this is how serials are nowadays, they end before they even begin to show something. But don’t worry we’ll meet again soon, same time, same place. Don’t miss me too much…I’ll come back soon! Till then, sayo nara, shabha khair, shubh ratri, bye-bye.


Tuesday, June 16, 2009

Suzlon – The Typhoon of Green Energy

This is a continuation of the post I had written on MoneyVidya blogger network, Suzlon - Hawa Ka Jhoka? Off late I have been hearing rumors about Suzlon being able to sustain itself. People also think there is a considerable risk associated with the business of the wind turbine major.

To read the entire article, click here.

Monday, June 15, 2009

MoneyVidya – A Knowledge Sharing Platform

I started blogging quite recently, about a month ago. While I was familiarizing myself with the new world of information, I realized that it requires some sort of filtering. I was specifically looking for people with similar interests who write quality articles. Ultimately, my goal is to share and gain knowledge with the world. This is where The Income Portfolio (TIP), a fellow blogger, introduced me to MoneyVidya.com (MV) website.

MoneyVidya is a Stock Picking Community, where you can do a lot of other things too. Let me share some of its features:

A Knowledgeable Community through Blogs: I found what I was looking for – a platform where you get all the sharing people in one place. You can have a personalized profile, write blogs and interact with other members of the community. Moneyvidya has their own blogging network as well and you can be a part of it, if you wish to (they have certain criteria based on which they include people in their own network!).

Polls: You can create your own polls as well as participate in the ones created by others. By doing so you can find out what majority of the people are thinking!

Discussions: You can start a discussion on any topic for which you require expert opinion. The best part is that it’s all personalized. What this means is that you will not lose any content and will find people with a similar interest participating in such discussions.

Rating System: The website has an internal rating algorithm based on certain parameters. It is based on the average profitability and riskiness of member’s previous picks and the quality of the analysis accompanying these picks, as determined by the wider community. Members can make a BUY/SELL recommendation with their own reasoning and they get rated.

Although, I personally don’t believe in giving recommendations, and thus only two stock picks which were made while I was trying it initially. I believe one should do his/her own analysis. Moreover, I also believe that the rating system should place more emphasis on other parameters like blogs, their quality, their active usage etc. currently it’s more focused on stock picks.

The website is still in alpha stage. So going forward, I expect a lot of other features to accompany the great blogging community that it already has.

It’s a great website, looks cool and has a lot to offer. Check it out and start using!

P.S. I’m an Associate Blogger of MoneyVidya blogging network. I have a few blog posts at MoneyVidya. You can read them at:

http://www.moneyvidya.com/dashboard/blogNews/userid/3914.html